Breaking Futures: The latest attack on Saudi Arabia is a game-changer

In an article I posted on this website in May this year, I said the following: "With America on the one hand walking out of the nuclear agreement with Iran and applying really tough sanctions to bring the country to its knees, and Iran on the other hand saying it might go back to enriching uranium, a war appears very much on the cards. If that happens, Israel will join America on the side of Saudi Arabia and Russia could take the side of Iran. The consequences will

Breaking Futures: Are global financial markets still in touch with reality?

At the end of May this year, I wrote an article painting three scenarios for the global economy over the next five years.

The first was "Gilded Cage" in which the rich old millions in America, Europe and Japan continued to construct barriers to block the poor young billions in the developing world from migrating to their countries. While this was completely against the spirit of globalisation which entails the free movement of people and goods between nations, the world economy would go on growing, albeit at a much slower rate than last century.

Chantell’s interview with 567 Cape Talk 5 June 2019

On Wednesday 5 June, Chantell was on her regular spot as a trends analyst for Kieno Kammies, the weekday breakfast show host on 567 Cape Talk.

On this occasion, she introduced the concept of the Ethical Compass that she uses in guiding the strategic decision-making of executive teams. Applying guidelines of morality and legality in decision-making exposes some of the grey areas in decision-making, e.g. decisions that may be legal, but are immoral, or moral but illegal.

Can you think of examples?

You can find it as a

Breaking Futures: The day of reckoning may be fast approaching

For the last five years, I have been asking people to watch the flags that could turn the world's political and economic game upside down in the near term. They are now combining with one another in a way that could produce a day of reckoning sooner than I, and many other experienced futurists, ever thought possible. So let's go through the flags one by one.

The religious flag

The first flag is the religious flag which started going up the pole in the late 1980s because of intensifying competition between the major religions of the world. It produced 9/11, a

Chantell’s interview with 567 Cape Talk 27 March 2019

On Wednesday 27th March, Chantell was on her regular spot as a trends analyst for Kieno Kammies, the weekday breakfast show host on 567 Cape Talk. On this occasion, she was speaking from Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, where she heads an ongoing programme with the AU to develop strategic thinking among emerging leaders.

Chantell talked about the mindofafox 'Africa Rising' scenario, and what events in the past week pointed towards its progressive unfolding.

Coal’s canary in a mine

The coal industry has a canary in its mines: tobacco.

It has not been a good few weeks for coal’s image in SA, and to a large degree the industry can blame itself — its arrogance, myopia and inability to adapt draws comparisons with another industry continually under fire: tobacco. It knows this, because I’ve said it before. 

In November 2017, I addressed the 25th International Coal, Coke and Carbon Forum in Budapest about the shifting scenarios the industry faces. I encouraged industry leaders to think about how they should adapt. I presented them with an unequivocal wake-up call: “You are the ‘new tobacco."

A tale of two centuries

Imagine you were asked in 1919 what the narrative might be for the rest of the 20th century in terms of major developments. You might well have said that cars and planes were going to revolutionise transport and change where and how we lived.  You could have anticipated the radio transforming the way we got our news and were entertained. 

Pushing the envelope, you might have added that pictures would accompany sound one day and captured the idea of television. Unless you had extraordinary powers of foresight, you would not have played a scenario of the rise of computers, the internet and cell phones in the